I wanted to start by judging the trade that Miami made with Indianapolis in the second round. Miami traded the 56th pick to the Colts for the 61st and 165th picks.
I was curious to see what the draft trade chart had to say about the trade, but rather than using the relatively useless old version of the chart, I'm instead using the updated "Actual Draft Value Chart" published by Pro Football Prospectus.
According to the ADV Chart, Miami gave up 1240 points of value in return for 1318 points (1145+173).
So not only did Miami get an additional player out of the deal (S Chris Clemons), they also came out on top in terms of value. The trade looked like a good deal at the time, and the numbers bear that out.
Miami may not have drafted any running backs this year, but they did sign Anthony Kimble as an undrafted free agent out of Stanford.
Football Outsiders discovered a metric which bears a strong correlation with the future performance of running backs known as the Speed Score.
Here is the formula for this metric: (WEIGHT * 200)/(40 TIME^4)
What the Speed Score does is more accurately reflect a player's true speed, by taking into account the body frame being propelled forward. It's essentially a 40 time adjusted for weight and placed on a 100-point scale.
A 267 lb. RB who can traverse 40 yards in 4.56 seconds (Brandon Jacobs) is better equipped to succeed than a 198 lb. RB who does it in the same amount of time (Ahmad Bradshaw) because of the power behind that speed. In general, any speed score below 100 is poor, while the greater one's score is over 100, the better.
So let's take a look at the Speed Scores for this year's running backs:
|Player ||School ||40 Time ||Weight ||Speed Score |
|Andre Brown ||North Carolina State ||4.49 ||224 ||110.2 |
|Cedric Peerman ||Virginia ||4.45 ||216 ||110.2 |
|Ian Johnson ||Boise State ||4.46 ||212 ||107.2 |
|Javarris Williams ||Tennessee State ||4.52 ||223 ||106.9 |
|Beanie Wells ||Ohio State ||4.59 ||235 ||105.9 |
|Kory Sheets ||Purdue ||4.47 ||208 ||104.2 |
|Donald Brown ||Connecticut ||4.51 ||210 ||101.5 |
|Rashad Jennings ||Liberty ||4.64 ||231 ||99.7 |
|Shonn Greene ||Iowa ||4.63 ||227 ||98.8 |
|Mike Goodson ||Texas A&M ||4.54 ||208 ||97.9 |
|Chris Ogbannaya ||Texas ||4.61 ||220 ||97.4 |
|Marlon Lucky ||Nebraska ||4.59 ||216 ||97.3 |
|Knowshon Moreno ||Georgia ||4.60 ||217 ||96.9 |
|James Davis ||Clemson ||4.61 ||218 ||96.5 |
|Glen Coffee ||Alabama ||4.58 ||209 ||95.0 |
|Jeremiah Johnson ||Oregon ||4.61 ||209 ||92.5 |
|Bernard Scott ||Abilene Christian ||4.56 ||200 ||92.5 |
|Anthony Kimble ||Stanford ||4.66 ||216 ||91.6 |
|Javon Ringer ||Michigan State ||4.60 ||205 ||91.6 |
|Brandon Ore ||West Liberty State ||4.67 ||214 ||90.0 |
|Tyrell Sutton ||Northwestern ||4.66 ||211 ||89.5 |
|Gartrell Johnson ||Colorado State ||4.71 ||219 ||89.0 |
|Kahlil Bell ||UCLA ||4.68 ||212 ||88.4|
Obviously, I wasn't expecting much, given the fact that Kimble went undrafted, but 91.6 is a really poor Speed Score and it doesn't portend well for his future success.
While the Speed Score is not a foolproof metric, it is far more hit than miss. Of course, he does have kick return experience so perhaps he could prove to be of some use in that area.
So did Miami have any better options (according to Speed Score)? Well, Kory Sheets (104.2) went undrafted and attended the 49ers minicamp on a tryout basis. Ian Johnson (107.2) also went undrafted and signed with the Vikings. I think either of those two players would have been a better option than Kimble.
Of course, I really just wish Miami had found a way to hold onto Jalen Parmele, who they drafted last year in the sixth round. He had a Speed Score of 112.2.