Saturday, December 8, 2007

Bills-Dolphins: Week 14 Matchup

Here's a rundown of Miami's week fourteen matchup against the Buffalo Bills:

Where: Ralph Wilson Stadium
When: Sunday, 1:00 PM ET

  • Buffalo: Out - DE Copeland Bryan, DE Chris Kelsay, RB Anthony Thomas, LB Coy Wire; Questionable - CB Jerametrius Butler, WR Justin Jenkins, RB Marshawn Lynch, T Jason Peters
  • Miami: Questionable - WR Marty Booker, RB Jesse Chatman, LB Channing Crowder, DT Vonnie Holliday, LB Joey Porter, DE Matt Roth, NT Keith Traylor; Probable - T Vernon Carey
Positional Breakdown:


Running backs


Offensive line
Defensive line



Special teams

Overall Advantage

Keys to the Game:
  1. Finish the game this time - all four quarters. Last time these two teams played, Miami outplayed Buffalo for almost the entire game. Buffalo was completely inept on offense, Miami didn't turn the ball over, and yet the Dolphins still lost because they couldn't finish off the opposition. This team must learn how to win, especially when it has an advantage. Buffalo does not have any significant talent advantage over Miami. This game will come down to which team wants it more when the game is on the line. Unfortunately, Miami has yet to take control in those situations.
  2. Let Ginn get deep. Last game, Ginn was able to get open deep on several occasions but Cleo Lemon missed him on the throw. John Beck has a better deep ball, and it should be utilized this week. Buffalo gives up huge amounts of yardage through the air (254 yards per game), and it will behoove this offense to find some big plays deep to Ginn. He should be able to beat this secondary with little problem.
  3. Chatman/Gado must make something out of nothing. Whether it's a hobbled Chatman or an inexperienced Samkon Gado, the running game has to get something going. I'm not saying they have to be dominant, but they must provide some sort of downhill running threat and between the tackles options. If Buffalo doesn't feel the need to respect these backs, then Beck is going to have a hell of a time finding any open space in the secondary.
Key Players:
  • Buffalo: QB Trent Edwards - J.P. Losman started the last game against Miami and the Bills offense was inept. It will be up to Edwards to put a spark in it, although he has struggled in finding the endzone.
  • Miami: CB Will Allen - Allen will probably be put on Lee Evans all game. Evans is another one of those AFC East WRs who habitually finds ways to brutalize the Dolphins. Allen has been playing well as of late, and he will need to shut down Evans deep.
This is a very winnable game for Miami. I think being the favorite going into last week's game against the Jets actually hurt their chances as it made them overconfident. That's not the case this week. Most people now expect them to go 0-16. I don't. However, that doesn't mean that I'm going to pick them to win. I just would not be surprised if they do.

Bills win 22-14.

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